What the cold does to a heat pump here
Winter here is the long season, not the short one. Heat runs seven months, October through April, against five months of cooling. Whatever you install spends more of the year heating this house than cooling it, so get the heating side right first.
A standard heat pump starts losing ground below 40°F and often needs backup heat below about 35°F. The average overnight low here in December, January and February is 25°F. That is not a cold snap, that is the normal winter night. About 105 nights a year, roughly half the nights in heating season, drop to freezing or below, and every one of those nights sits below both marks.
That does not mean the heat pump stops. It means it is not working at full strength on an ordinary winter night, and on a lot of those nights it leans on a backup heat source to make up the difference. Three nights a year here reach 0°F or below, few enough that they are not the real question. The real question is the other 105.
Cold climate heat pumps exist to close that gap. To earn the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate mark, a heat pump has to keep making 1.75 units of heat per unit of electricity at 5°F and hold onto 70 percent of its 47°F capacity at that same temperature, checked by outside testing. In field testing of prototype cold climate models, backup heat covered only a small share of the output between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even above 0°F. A furnace built to the federal minimum does not face any of this. It is sized once, for the coldest night you get, and it puts out the same rated heat whether it is 30°F outside or 0°F.











