What winter here does to a heat pump
Heat runs seven months a year in Coles County, October through April. Cooling runs five. Whatever you buy spends more of the year heating than cooling, so the heating side of the choice carries more weight.
The average overnight low across December, January and February is 23°F. That's not a cold snap, that's a typical night. About 105 nights a year here drop to freezing or below, close to half the nights in the heating season. A standard heat pump puts out less than its rated capacity once it's below 40°F outside, and it often needs backup heat below about 35°F. Every one of those 105 freezing nights here falls below both marks.
The cold rarely goes much further than that. Only about 4 nights a year reach 0°F. So the real question isn't whether a heat pump can get through the coldest night of the year here. It's whether it can carry the other hundred-odd nights in the 20s and 30s without leaning on backup heat for months straight.
A standard heat pump built to the federal minimum will lean on that backup heat often in a winter shaped like this one. An ENERGY STAR Cold Climate heat pump is built to a different mark: at 5°F it still has to make at least 1.75 units of heat for every unit of electricity it uses, and hold onto at least 70 percent of its 47°F heating capacity, checked by outside testing. In a two-winter field test of prototype cold-climate heat pumps, backup heat covered only a small share of the load between 0°F and 35°F, and running on backup alone was rare even above 0°F.











