What winter here does to a heat pump
Cook County winters push a standard heat pump into its weak range for most of the season. Its heat output starts falling short of the rating once it's below 40°F outside, and below about 35°F it often needs backup heat to keep up. The average overnight low here, December through February, is 20°F. That's below both marks, every night, all winter.
About 110 nights a year here drop to freezing or below. Every one of those nights is below the 35°F point and the 40°F point. That's not a cold snap, it's under half the nights in the eight months your heat runs. A heat pump sized for this county is working below its rating on most of the nights it's needed most.
The real cold, 0°F or below, only hits about 5 nights a year. That's the part a cold-climate heat pump is built for. Look for the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate mark: it requires the unit to still produce at least 1.75 units of heat per unit of electricity at 5°F, and hold onto 70 percent of its 47°F capacity at that temperature, checked by outside testing. A standard heat pump isn't built or rated to do that.
Field testing on cold-climate models backs this up. Across two winters in occupied homes, backup heat only covered a small share of the heat needed between 0°F and 35°F, and the units ran on backup alone only rarely, even above 0°F. So the gap here isn't whether a heat pump can handle a Cook County winter. It's which heat pump, and whether it carries that rating.











