Can a heat pump keep up with winter here
Winter is the real question in DuPage County. Heat runs about eight months a year, October through May, and the overnight low averages 19°F across December, January and February. A standard heat pump starts losing ground before it even gets that cold. Below 40°F it puts out less than its rated capacity. Below about 35°F it often needs backup heat to make up the difference. The average winter night here sits under both marks, and every one of the roughly 135 nights that drop to freezing or below does too.
That doesn't mean a heat pump quits. About 9 nights a year here reach 0°F or below, a small slice of the 135 freezing nights, and field tests of cold-climate heat pumps in occupied homes found backup heat carried only a small share of the load between 0°F and 35°F. Running on backup alone was rare even above 0°F. The ones that hold up in that test were built to the ENERGY STAR Cold Climate spec, which requires at least 1.75 units of heat per unit of electricity at 5°F and at least 70 percent of rated capacity at that temperature, checked by independent testing. A standard heat pump, built to the federal minimum, is not that machine. If a heat pump is going into your house, this is the spec to ask about.
A furnace doesn't have this problem. It burns gas to make heat, so outdoor temperature doesn't touch its output. On the coldest night of the year it heats the same way it does in October.











